It seems the Dem vote declined slightly (a million or less), while the growth in turnout benefited Republicans and third-party candidates. The numbers in that tweet aren’t current any more, but they’re close. Overall turnout is up 5 percent (so far) over 2012.īut shifts within that turnout were significant.ģrd party up 5.3m /FUdXL8xDpt- Timothy McBride November 27, 2016 These numbers indicate that the story of the election was not primarily about turnout, as many exit poll–based hot takes claimed in the days after. (David Wasserman, an editor at Cook Political Report, maintains an up-to-date spreadsheet of the popular vote tally if you want to follow along.) Ultimately, it looks like she’ll net around 65 million votes, maybe a little more. There are still some outstanding votes to be counted. That puts her up by a margin of 1.8 percent. As of this writing, she’s at 64.9 million, to Trump’s 62.5 million - a 2.4 million-vote lead. Hillary Clinton is going to win the popular vote by a sizable margin. Join me, if you will, on this dystopian voyage of discovery. In that spirit, I’m going to attempt here to puzzle it all out, piece by piece - what happened, what it meant, what there is to learn from it. Like many others, I didn’t take this election as seriously as it warranted until the day it was over. With Trump at the helm of foreign policy - temperamental and easily provoked, the only world leader who denies the threat of climate change - there are long-tail risks almost too terrible to contemplate. Given the evidence thus far, Trump’s administration promises a reactionary lurch in policy accompanied by historic corruption and incompetence. The consequences of that overconfidence are only now coming into view. Almost no one really thought it could happen here, even after we watched it happen there. US political and media institutions were just as unprepared for this result as UK elites were for the Brexit vote - but at least UK elites hadn’t already witnessed the Brexit vote. I was overconfident, even more so than most in media. “One black swan does not foretell a flock of black swans.” (Yeah. “Just because Trump makes no sense doesn't mean common sense has become worthless,” I wrote after Trump won some early primaries. I never once questioned my confident prediction that Donald Trump would never become president. To begin, I should acknowledge just how wrong I was about this election. And I know I’m not alone.īefore we’re entirely swept up in the Trump Outrage of the Day, I want to at least pause, take stock, and attempt to answer a simple question: What the fuck just happened? Boy was I wrong Those words still sound like nonsense to me.

But I, for one, have not fully processed the news that Donald J. Davis, Kennedy Elliott, Amy Hughes, Ben Koski, Allison McCartney and Karen Workman.It’s been almost three weeks now. David Goodman, Blake Hounshell, Shawn Hubler, Annie Karni, Maya King, Stephanie Lai, Lisa Lerer, Jonathan Martin, Patricia Mazzei, Alyce McFadden, Jennifer Medina, Azi Paybarah, Mitch Smith, Tracey Tully, Jazmine Ulloa, Neil Vigdor and Jonathan Weisman production by Andy Chen, Amanda Cordero, Alex Garces, Chris Kahley, Laura Kaltman, Andrew Rodriguez and Jessica White editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, William P.

Epstein, Nicholas Fandos, Lalena Fisher, Trip Gabriel, Katie Glueck, J. Bender, Sarah Borell, Sarah Cahalan, Emily Cochrane, Nick Corasaniti, Jill Cowan, Catie Edmondson, Reid J.

Reporting by Grace Ashford, Maggie Astor, Michael C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. The Times’s election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Véronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martín González Gómez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. 2020 comparison maps exclude places where third-party candidates won more than 5 percent of the vote. The Associated Press also provides estimates for the share of votes reported, which are shown for races for which The Times does not publish its own estimates. These are only estimates, and they may not be informed by reports from election officials. The Times estimates the share of votes reported and the number of remaining votes, based on historic turnout data and reporting from results providers. Source: Election results and race calls are from The Associated Press.

Wisconsin 2016 election results nytimes